Tag Archive: Miami Heat

RandomNBAFan’s Week 1 Prediction Results

I correctly predicted 30 of the 42 games that were played during the first week of the season (Tuesday, October 28 through Sunday November 2).  Although all three of my predictions for the Portland Trail Blazers were wrong, I did correctly predict each game for the Atlanta Hawks (2), Dallas Mavericks (3), Denver Nuggets (2), Detroit Piston (3), Indiana Pacers (3), Miami Heat (3), Minnesota Timberwolves (3), New Orleans Pelicans (2), Orlando Magic (3), Philadelphia 76ers (3) and Toronto Raptors (3).

 

Date Visitor Home Prediction Result
10/28/2014 Orlando Magic New Orleans Pelicans Pelicans Pelicans
10/28/2014 Dallas Mavericks San Antonio Spurs Spurs Spurs
10/28/2014 Houston Rockets Los Angeles Lakers Lakers Rockets
10/29/2014 Milwaukee Bucks Charlotte Hornets Hornets Hornets
10/29/2014 Philadelphia 76ers Indiana Pacers Pacers Pacers
10/29/2014 Brooklyn Nets Boston Celtics Nets Celtics
10/29/2014 Washington Wizards Miami Heat Heat Heat
10/29/2014 Atlanta Hawks Toronto Raptors Raptors Raptors
10/29/2014 Minnesota Timberwolves Memphis Grizzlies Grizzlies Grizzlies
10/29/2014 Chicago Bulls New York Knicks Bulls Bulls
10/29/2014 Detroit Pistons Denver Nuggets Nuggets Nuggets
10/29/2014 Houston Rockets Utah Jazz Rockets Rockets
10/29/2014 Los Angeles Lakers Phoenix Suns Suns Suns
10/29/2014 Golden State Warriors Sacramento Kings Warriors Warriors
10/29/2014 Oklahoma City Thunder Portland Trail Blazers Thunder Trail Blazers
10/30/2014 Washington Wizards Orlando Magic Wizards Wizards
10/30/2014 Detroit Pistons Minnesota Timberwolves Timberwolves Timberwolves
10/30/2014 New York Knicks Cleveland Cavaliers Cavaliers Knicks
10/30/2014 Utah Jazz Dallas Mavericks Mavericks Mavericks
10/30/2014 Oklahoma City Thunder Los Angeles Clippers Clippers Clippers
10/31/2014 Memphis Grizzlies Indiana Pacers Grizzlies Grizzlies
10/31/2014 Cleveland Cavaliers Chicago Bulls Bulls Cavaliers
10/31/2014 Philadelphia 76ers Milwaukee Bucks Bucks Bucks
10/31/2014 San Antonio Spurs Phoenix Suns Spurs Suns
10/31/2014 Portland Trail Blazers Sacramento Kings Trail Blazers Kings
10/31/2014 Los Angeles Clippers Los Angeles Lakers Clippers Clippers
11/1/2014 Dallas Mavericks New Orleans Pelicans Mavericks Mavericks
11/1/2014 Memphis Grizzlies Charlotte Hornets Hornets Grizzlies
11/1/2014 Toronto Raptors Orlando Magic Raptors Raptors
11/1/2014 Miami Heat Philadelphia 76ers Heat Heat
11/1/2014 Milwaukee Bucks Washington Wizards Bucks Wizards
11/1/2014 Indiana Pacers Atlanta Hawks Hawks Hawks
11/1/2014 Brooklyn Nets Detroit Pistons Nets Nets
11/1/2014 Boston Celtics Houston Rockets Rockets Rockets
11/1/2014 Chicago Bulls Minnesota Timberwolves Bulls Bulls
11/1/2014 Denver Nuggets Oklahoma City Thunder Thunder Thunder
11/1/2014 Phoenix Suns Utah Jazz Suns Jazz
11/1/2014 Los Angeles Lakers Golden State Warriors Warriors Warriors
11/2/2014 Sacramento Kings Los Angeles Clippers Clippers Kings
11/2/2014 Toronto Raptors Miami Heat Heat Heat
11/2/2014 Charlotte Hornets New York Knicks Knicks Knicks
11/2/2014 Golden State Warriors Portland Trail Blazers Trail Blazers Warriors
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2014-2015 NBA Eastern Conference Preview

Based on my predictions for all 1,230 regular-season games for the 2014-2015 NBA season, here is my predicted order of finish for the Eastern Conference:

1. Chicago Bulls (60-22)

The return of Derrick Rose and the addition of Pau Gasol should help the Bulls address their shortcomings on the offensive side of the ball.

2. Cleveland Cavaliers (58-24)

LeBron James’ return will make Cleveland relevant in the Eastern Conference for the first time since James’ infamous departure back in 2010.

3. Brooklyn Nets (48-34)

Lionel Hollins, task master that he is, will get the most out of the Nets no matter how many games Brook Lopez misses or plays this season.

4. Miami Heat (46-36)

Despite the departure of LeBron James, Erik Spoelstra should be able to lead an experienced Heat squad with the likes of Chris Bosh and Dwyane Wade supported by Luol Deng and Danny Granger to a spot in the top four of the weak East.

5. Toronto Raptors (41-41)

After a surprising Atlantic Division title last season, opponents will pay a little bit more attention to the Raptors this season.

6. New York Knicks (40-42) 4th tiebreaker, predicted to go 29-23 in Conference

Although they will likely struggle early on and will probably have their ups and downs as they adjust to the triangle offense, the Knicks will probably get enough out of the Carmelo Anthony and company to squeak into the postseason.

7. Washington Wizards (40-42) 4th tiebreaker, predicted to go 28-24 in Conference

Can the Wizards, who remained relatively healthy—for them—last season, get another 155 games out of Bradley Beal and John Wall this season?  With Beal likely to miss the first few weeks of the season with a wrist injury, it seems unlikely.

8. Atlanta Hawks (39-43)

Atlanta has made the playoffs an Eastern Conference high seven straight times and despite a tumultuous offseason, the return of Al Horford should help the Hawks push that streak to eight.

9. Charlotte Hornets (37-45)

10. Detroit Pistons (30-52)

11. Indiana Pacers (26-56) 5th tiebreaker, predicted to go 10-19 against predicted playoff teams in East

12. Boston Celtics (26-56) 5th tiebreaker, predicted to go 10-20 against predicted playoff teams in East

13. Milwaukee Bucks (23-59)

14. Orlando Magic (20-62)

15. Philadelphia 76ers (18-64)

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2014 NBA Finals: Miami Heat at San Antonio Spurs Game 5 Preview

Today’s Game (All times are Eastern):

 

Time (ET) Visitor Home Prediction
8:00 PM Miami Heat San Antonio Spurs Heat

The 2014 NBA Finals shift back to San Antonio with the Spurs holding a commanding 3-1 series lead over the two-time defending NBA Champion Miami Heat.  In the history of the NBA Finals every team that has taken a 3-1 series lead has gone on to win the title.  San Antonio, who is just one win away from earning the franchise’s fifth NBA championship, can become the 32nd team to take advantage of a 3-1 Finals lead with a victory in Sunday night’s Game 5.

After surrendering home-court advantage in a two-point, 98-96, loss in Game 2 in San Antonio last Sunday, June 8, the Spurs went to Miami and totally dominated the Heat.  San Antonio won Games 3 and 4 in Miami by a combined 40 points.  In Game 3, it was San Antonio’s offense that destroyed the Heat.  And in Game 4, the Spurs defense held Miami to a postseason-low 86 points.  In fact, San Antonio’s defense has gotten the job done all series long.  The Heat are averaging just 92.8 points through the first four games and have yet to reach the century mark during the Finals.

Prior to a 21-point loss in Thursday night’s Game 4, Miami had gone more than two years without suffering consecutive playoff losses.  The last time the Heat lost two straight postseason games—they actually lost three in a row, and that was back in the 2012 Eastern Conference Finals against the Boston Celtics.  Miami went on to win that series and every playoff series it has played in since.  If Miami wants to extend this series and keep its hopes of winning a third straight NBA championship alive, the Heat must do all that they can to avoid dropping a third consecutive playoff game.

Absolutely everything is on the line for Miami, and the Heat will have to play with a desperation and urgency that has simply eluded them thus far in this series if they want to extend their season.  Facing elimination, the Heat will have to put whatever they have left in the tank on the line in Game 5.

I picked the Spurs to win the series in seven games because I believed the teams were relatively evenly matched.  But there is nothing—and I mean nothing—that happened in Games 3 and 4 that suggests these teams are evenly matched.  San Antonio held the lead for more than 43 of the 48 minutes of playing time in the two games in Miami and most of the time the lead was 10 points or more.

However, with that being said, each game of a series is separate of all the others, and Game 5 is a new entity in and of itself.  So despite San Antonio’s dominance in Miami, the Heat will have a chance to turn things around in Game 5 in San Antonio.  Besides, for my original prediction to have any chance at coming to fruition, Miami must win Game 5.

Since falling to the Dallas Mavericks in the 2011 NBA Finals, the Heat have faced five elimination games, including Games 6 and 7 of the 2013 NBA Finals against the Spurs.  Miami has won those five games by an average of 13 points.  The Heat need to keep that streak alive in their first elimination game of these playoffs if they want to keep their season and any hopes of a three-peat alive.

Thursday’s Results:

 

Visitor Home Prediction Result
San Antonio Spurs 107 Miami Heat 86 Heat Spurs

Random NBA Fan’s Record in Yesterday’s Games: 0-1
Random NBA Fan’s Record for the Playoffs: 55-33

***Unlike my regular-season game-by-game predictions, which are made well before the beginning of the season, my game-by-game playoff predictions will be made day-by-day as the playoffs progress. This is mainly to avoid the mess that will be made whenever one of my predictions goes awry.***

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2014 NBA Finals: San Antonio Spurs at Miami Heat Game 4 Preview

Today’s Game (All times are Eastern):

 

Time (ET) Visitor Home Prediction
9:00 PM San Antonio Spurs Miami Heat Heat

Led by the impressive play of Kawhi Leonard, the San Antonio Spurs simply put on an offensive clinic in the first half of Game 3.  San Antonio made 19 of their first 21 shots and ultimately finished the first half with 71 points on 25-for-33 shooting.  Leonard made his six first shorts and finished the half with 18 of his game-high 29 points.

The Spurs used their hot start to jump out to a 21-point, 71-50, halftime lead over the two-time defending NBA champion Miami Heat.  Miami made a third-quarter run and cut the lead to seven at the 1:59 mark of the third.  But on the very next possession, Marco Belinelli hit a three (his only bucket of the game) to push the lead back up to 10 and the Heat never threatened again. The Spurs earned a 111-92 road win to take a 2-1 series lead and regain home-court advantage.

That was Miami’s first home loss during these playoffs and their first postseason loss at AmericanAirlines Arena since dropping Game 1 of last season’s Finals to the Spurs.  The Heat have not lost consecutive playoff games since dropping three straight to the Boston Celtics during the 2012 Eastern Conference Finals and they haven’t lost two straight playoff games at home since losing Games 2 and 6 of the 2011 NBA Finals.

Miami will have to avoid a second straight loss and keep both of those streaks alive if the Heat hope to tie this series at two games apiece.  If the Heat play the type of defense that they played in the second half of Game 3, where they held the Spurs to just 40 points on 41.9 percent shooting, for 48 minutes in Game 4, this series will likely head back to San Antonio for a pivotal Game 5 tied 2-2.

Tuesday’s Results:

 

Visitor Home Prediction Result
San Antonio Spurs 111 Miami Heat 92 Heat Spurs

Random NBA Fan’s Record in Yesterday’s Games: 0-1
Random NBA Fan’s Record for the Playoffs: 55-32

***Unlike my regular-season game-by-game predictions, which are made well before the beginning of the season, my game-by-game playoff predictions will be made day-by-day as the playoffs progress. This is mainly to avoid the mess that will be made whenever one of my predictions goes awry.***

2014 NBA Finals: San Antonio Spurs at Miami Heat Game 3 Preview

Today’s Game (All times are Eastern):

 

Time (ET) Visitor Home Prediction
9:00 PM San Antonio Spurs Miami Heat Heat

With 6:43 remaining in Game 2 Mario Chalmers was assessed a Flagrant 1 foul for elbowing Tony Parker in the midsection. At the time of the foul, the Spurs held a two-point, 87-85, lead, and, with two free throws and possession of the ball coming their way, they had an opportunity to bump their lead up to six points or more in a close game that had been played within plus or minus six points since the 8:29 mark of the second quarter. But Parker missed both free throws and on the ensuing possession, Tim Duncan gets fouled in the act of shooting, goes to the line and misses two more free throws.

And just 24 seconds later, LeBron James hit a 24-foot three pointer to give Miami an 88-87 lead. I won’t say that that sequence of events decided the game—San Antonio did in fact take a 93-92 lead with 2:26 remaining in the game—but in a game that was ultimately decided by two points, I will say that the Spurs and their fans wish that at least half of those four free throws had gone done.

But they didn’t and now the series shifts to Miami, where the two-time defending NBA champions have won 11 straight playoff games. The Heat have not dropped a postseason game at AmericanAirlines Arena since losing Game 1 of last season’s NBA Finals to the San Antonio Spurs.

Miami now holds home-court advantage in this series, and if the Heat can stretch their 11-game home postseason winning streak to 14 Miami would earn their third consecutive NBA championship. But the Heat did not become two-time defending champions by looking ahead. They understand that each game of each series is an entity in and of itself and that the only thing that matters right now is Game 3. The Heat also understand that things will not get easier simply because they are coming home. Miami knows that it will have to play even better than it did in Game 2 to come away with a victory in Game 3. The Heat also know that snatching home-court advantage away from the Spurs in Game 2 will mean absolutely nothing if they give it right back to them with a Game 3 loss.

After winning an NBA-high 30 road games during the regular season, the Spurs have struggled on the road this postseason. San Antonio is just 3-5 in games away from the AT&T Center and has lost at least one road game in the first three rounds of these playoffs.

Sunday’s Results:

 

Visitor Home Prediction Result
Miami Heat 98 San Antonio Spurs 96 Spurs Heat

Random NBA Fan’s Record in Sunday’s Games: 0-1
Random NBA Fan’s Record for the Playoffs: 55-31

***Unlike my regular-season game-by-game predictions, which are made well before the beginning of the season, my game-by-game playoff predictions will be made day-by-day as the playoffs progress. This is mainly to avoid the mess that will be made whenever one of my predictions goes awry.***

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